The 45.5% Illusion: Why Prediction Markets Are a Poor Oracle for DeFi Portfolios
I saw it on Crypto Briefing this morning: a prediction market had priced a...
News
•
Ansemtoshi
•
2026-07-22
Market Prices
| Coin | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
|
BTC
Bitcoin
|
$65,906.5 | -0.76% |
|
ETH
Ethereum
|
$1,927.64 | +0.18% |
|
SOL
Solana
|
$77.72 | -0.24% |
|
BNB
BNB Chain
|
$570.2 | -0.54% |
|
XRP
XRP Ledger
|
$1.14 | -1.92% |
|
DOGE
Dogecoin
|
$0.0726 | -1.40% |
|
ADA
Cardano
|
$0.1752 | +1.15% |
|
AVAX
Avalanche
|
$6.61 | -0.21% |
|
DOT
Polkadot
|
$0.8415 | -1.38% |
|
LINK
Chainlink
|
$8.62 | -0.05% |
Fear & Greed
33
Fear
Market Sentiment
Event Calendar
202622
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Altseason Index
43
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Gas Tracker
Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
Tag Hub
Market Cap
All →
1
Bitcoin
BTC
$65,906.5
1
Ethereum
ETH
$1,927.64
1
Solana
SOL
$77.72
1
BNB Chain
BNB
$570.2
1
XRP Ledger
XRP
$1.14
1
Dogecoin
DOGE
$0.0726
1
Cardano
ADA
$0.1752
1
Avalanche
AVAX
$6.61
1
Polkadot
DOT
$0.8415
1
Chainlink
LINK
$8.62
🐋 Whale Tracker
🟢
0x07ef...bafd
1h ago
In
3,127,497 USDT
🔴
0x12b8...7b9c
3h ago
Out
2,819.60 BTC
🟢
0x423c...bd31
30m ago
In
2,048 ETH
💡 Smart Money
0xd5b7...1759
Top DeFi Miner
+$0.3M
60%
0xe8bc...baec
Arbitrage Bot
+$2.7M
85%
0x4fe2...8965
Arbitrage Bot
+$0.7M
72%
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Flash News
•
CryptoFox
•
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